The scatterbrained choices for the Golden Globes nominations were surprising and disconcerting because they failed to illuminate clear awards leaders. But like most years, the Globes served to narrow the pool. Amid a month of critics circles awards and film critics unleashing their top 10 lists, this year's best filmmakers, screenwriters, actors, music scores, et.al., has become more evident. The Golden Globe Awards serve as a somewhat reliable forecast of the results of the Academy Awards (February 22). Last year's one-hour diluted ceremony of a roll call for winners packed the excitement of a televised bingo tournament.
2008 was not a great year in film, but its closing three weeks jampacked several frontrunners for accolades. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Doubt and Frost/Nixon lead the Globe nominations with five apiece. The glaring omissions from the best picture (drama) category - The Dark Knight, Doubt, Milk and The Wrestler - leave something to be desired. The twin Kate Winslet dramas Revolution Road and The Reader were included despite a mixed bag of overall critical reception. Although Burn After Reading and In Bruges supplied compelling black-humored bouts of death and quirky characterization, it's less than likely that the nominated films in the musical or comedy category will show up in the Academy Award best picture list.
Best Motion Picture - Drama
Will Win - Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win - Frost/Nixon
There were quite a few stronger films than Slumdog this year, but the trend of rallying behind the uplifting, spirited indie sleeper in recent memory (Juno, Little Miss Sunshine, etc.) sees no sign of slowing down. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, for its Forrest Gump-iness and other "Oscar movie" qualities, could possibly pull off the win as well. But of the selections, Ron Howard's fact-based dramatization of the boxing match between enormous egos is the best overall. Where is Milk?
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
Will Win - Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Should Win - Meryl Streep, Doubt
A respectable win for Hathaway might be just the kind of rehab her career needs, diverting attention from this month's release of Bride Wars.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Will Win - Sean Penn, Milk
Should Win - Sean Penn, Milk
Penn did a terrific job as the openly gay politician, but this category is crucial because it will determine whether him or close runner-ups Mickey Rourke and Tony winner Frank Langella could nab the Oscar.
Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Will Win - Mamma Mia!
Should Win - In Bruges
This is the category that has the least effect on the impending Oscar nominations - because its Academy Award counterpart doesn't exist. In Bruges (or Burn After Reading for that matter) might be too violent a pick for the musical/comedy category.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Will Win - Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Should Win - Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Hawkins has the best shot of the lot at earning an Oscar nomination.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Will Win - Javier Bardem, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Should Win - Brendan Gleeson, In Bruges
With the inclusion of musical or comedy acting categories, the Globes gives a shout-out to actors in breezier parts, recognizing James Franco for his modernized Jeff Spicoli and Javier Bardem for playing romantic instead of psychotic. But the most underrated character actor of them all, Gleeson deserves a prize.
Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Will Win - Viola Davis, Doubt
Should Win - Viola Davis, Doubt
Sometimes it only takes one scene. Beatrice Straight won the Oscar in 1977 for appearing onscreen for five minutes in Network. Davis deserves it for her rainbow-of-emotions portrayal of an altar boy's mother.
Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Will Win - Heath Ledger
Should Win - Heath Ledger
Buzz reigns supreme in Hollywood, but Ledger completely earned it. And it allows critics and commentators to use 'posthumous' an unregulated number of times.
Best Director - Motion Picture
Will Win - Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win - David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Hollywood Foreign Press Association likes to match movies with their makers. Voters might put Boyle's visually distinctive work above Fincher's. Christopher Nolan and Gus Van Sant's missing names make this a shallow category.
-- Mark
A Huxtable in Harrisburg